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قديم 09-15-2014, 04:16 PM   #1
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افتراضي Hectic week for the UK topped by Scotland independence referendum

This week, fundamentals as well as main events from the United Kingdom will grab investors’ attention.

Perhaps the key event this week will be the Sept. 18 referendum that will decide whether Scotland would split from the UK union.

Last week, BOE Governor Mark Carney warned Scotland by revealing that it would need a huge currency reserves that may exceed the size of its economy if it decided to keep using the sterling.

However, he said that England has a contingency plan in case Scotland opted to exit the union.

“We would obviously implement them if at all required in the short term to support financial stability,” Carney said. “The institutions in Scotland have access to Bank of England facilities, depositors in Scotland are backed by the FSCS, there are reasons why we have contingency plans in place.”

While Carney hinted last week to the possibility of starting interest rates hike by spring 2015, the issue of Scotland independence might cause a change in the bank’s monetary policy.

Regarding economic data, the UK will release important data this week including inflation, unemployment and retail sales, in addition to BOE minutes for September meeting.

CPI for the year ended August probably retreated further to 1.5 percent from the prior of 1.6 percent.

Meanwhile, the fall in inflation is one of the key concerns as the rate continues to drift away from the BOE’s goal of 2 percent.

Unemployment for the quarter through July slid to 6.3 percent from 6.4 percent while jobless claims for August dropped 30,000 after falling 33,600 in July, according to median forecasts.

Investors know pretty well that sustainable improvement in the labor market is necessary for the BOE to raise borrowing cost.

Retail sales including auto fuel soared 0.4 percent in August and 4.0 percent on the yearly basis, a report due this week may show.

However, much attention will probably to be given to BOE minutes amid expectations the split among policymakers regarding raising interest rates will continue.

In the euro area, the main focus will be on Germany investor confidence data for September, where analysts predict further drop in the expectation gauge to 5.0 from 8.6.

It is worthwhile to mention that the ECB has announced new stimulus measures last month to bolster recovery and tame the declining inflation.
Hazem Ahlawy غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
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Europe sees calm week, uncertainty extends ahead of Scotland vote Hazem Ahlawy Forex News 0 09-14-2014 02:11 PM
European shares drop, Scotland independence weighs Hazem Ahlawy Forex News 0 09-10-2014 06:24 PM
European shares drop slightly, Scotland independence referendum eyed Hazem Ahlawy Forex News 0 09-09-2014 02:09 PM
European shares retreat ahead of Scottish independence vote Hazem Ahlawy Forex News 0 09-09-2014 01:56 PM
European shares drop on Scotland independence expectations Hazem Ahlawy Forex News 1 09-08-2014 05:22 PM


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